Sea Ice Lies and Why People Post Them

Let’s pick this lie and its lying liar apart, shall we?

We know we haven’t seen ‘a perfect storm of meteorologically possible weather conditions’ for even a day in Summer 2020, but we know we lost about 81,000 km² of sea ice area from the Central Arctic Basin (CAB) on the 6th of July:

Daily Sea Ice Area Losses in the CAB, with July 6th highlighted.

It could be argued that ‘a perfect storm of meteorologically possible weather conditions’ would cause a daily loss of at least 250,000 km², easy, but to be polite, let’s just go with the highest loss this far in the Summer of 2020, 81,000 km². Pete talks about ‘a perfect storm of meteorologically possible weather conditions for the remainder of the melt season’, so every single day we’ll get this high loss. Let’s look at where that would land us.

Daily Sea Ice Area Losses in the CAB, with (less than) a perfect storm of meteorologically possible weather conditions for the remainder of the melt season simulated from August 2nd to September 4th.

We can easily see that all it takes is way less than a perfect storm, to take us to a BOE by September 4th. The blue dotted line for ‘Required Loss for a Blue Ocean Event’ bows down to zero, at which point no further losses are needed, as we are already at that 1 million mark.

Even if we had a perfect storm of meteorologically possible weather conditions for the remainder of the melt season,

Yes, as simulated above.

the probability would still be infinitesimally low for a BOE.

Nah, it would be done in the first week of September, even with non-perfect conditions.

We’re probably at least a decade from the first BOE and probably longer.

That’s not your scientific assessment, that’s just what you like to tell yourself, or what you like to pretend outward is your assessment. Let’s keep in mind you said “even IF perfect storm rest of summer” then “BOE probability would still be infinitesimally low”. That is just BS, as with perfect storm conditions the probability would clearly be 100%.

So we have demonstrated that Pete lies blatantly about the sea ice in the Arctic. Everyone knows that Pete lies about the sea ice in the Arctic, but do we know why Pete lies about the sea ice in the Arctic?