This year’s freeze season started September 15th, and since the minimum on the day before that, the season average has been the 2nd lowest on record. 2012 is in the lead, and 2016 is 3rd lowest. Ten–Year Trend, though, is still very stubbornly all–time low.
So, how much ice did we lose from the previous decade to this one? Let’s start with the good news, shall we? We lost only 6.6% flat, binary, 2D surface cover. What the bad news is? Well, we lost 21.9% of the sea ice. So there’s that.
#GoodHopeModel November 24: Our first ½ year long Arctic Blue Ocean Event could come as early as 2024–35. No sea ice for 6 months, in as little as 5–16 years?
About that: During the 6th episode of the Talking South talkshow on November 7th last year, Going South predicted that the Deep State / Military Industrial Complex would collapse along with Civilisation during the 2020s or 2030s, and here in August Pentagon confirms this analysis in its own report:
You can learn more about the Good Hope Model on YouTube:
For some of the consequences of a summer half year Blue Ocean Event, press Play:
In the Arctic, the sea ice volume 9-yr average reached a new record low this week due to climate change. The new milestone was 14.0 thousand km³. Interestingly, 2011 was the first time the 1-yr average went below 14 thousand km³, and now we know that the average for those 9 years — 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 — starting in 2011, is also 14 thousand km³.
Will the 9 years starting in 2017 — the first with a 1-yr average sea ice volume lower than 13 thousand km³ — average at 13 thousand km³ or lower? We won’t know for sure until 2025. But we do know we’re in post–tipping point non–linear collapse.
The 365–day running average for sea ice volume is still 2nd lowest and lower than 13.57 thousand km³, dropping by about 70 km³ per month. The prognosis suggests we’ll go lower than 2012 for the all–year average, pushing 2012 to #3 for low sea ice.
The 365–day running average for sea ice extent is now lower than 9.78 million km² and dropping by about 36 thousand km² per month. The prognosis suggests 2019 will likely be 2nd lowest on record for the all–year average for sea ice cover.
The Year–To–Date average extent has been all–time low now since late September. 4 of the 5 lowest years are also the 4 latest years: 2016, 2017, 2018 & 2019. These 4 will knock 2012 down to #5 for the full year.